94 ordspråk av John Silvia

John Silvia

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A lot of people are figuring out the rates are going up and this is their last chance to get in there and buy homes.

Although production in the manufacturing sector may be stabilizing, and perhaps even moving higher, it is still too early to expect an improvement in employment.

An economy in neutral has started to move forward.

As suggested by the orders data and the ISM survey, the initial stage of inventory replenishment has not been sustained, ... Slower growth ahead remains the most likely outcome.

But I don't think a prudent business or household manager can dismiss these energy prices today. We'll have to see what impact this all has on spending, employment plans and the rest.

Consumer sentiment numbers are not reflecting economic sentiment, but political or social sentiment. If you were generating an economic forecast of spending from these numbers, you'd be totally wrong.

Defense spending tends to be very lumpy in terms of the quarter in which it hits. When you're in the middle of a war, you have to have goods delivered. But even if it had been 3.6, it would still be respectable growth.

Employment and wages are stronger and therefore, consumer spending is stronger. Housing is slowing, but not as much as we would have expected, and the price of oil is so far not having that big an impact on the consumer.

Employment markets were solid on the eve of destruction.

Firms are substituting capital -- particularly high-tech capital -- for labor. They're putting smart machines on the factory floor and in the service industry. That may explain why high-tech orders for capital goods have been going up, despite the fact that manufacturers don't seem to be hiring a lot of people.

Firms can't afford to offer much, and workers don't want to threaten to leave because of the job situation.

Going forward there is a sense of what are we trying to do here?

Growth looks solid. The problem is prices paid were up again, suggesting inflation pressures remain a concern.

He'll keep up the Greenspan theme that the Fed's no. 1 goal is to keep inflation under control.

He'll tackle the issues straight on, here's how I think how we got here, and here's you have to do. It'll be a real challenge to the politicians.

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Varför är inte hela Internet såhär?

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