Given the current sentiment in the market, there's probably a greater chance of the dollar rallying on a strong number than the risk of any sort of sell-off if there is disappointment. |
I would expect any gains to be short-lived, and the dollar's uptrend to soon resume. |
It seems the Fed is moving toward putting even more emphasis on economic data when deciding how to act on monetary policy. |
Markets are afraid there might be a sign of stagflation in the U.S. economy. |
Rising tension (between Iran and the West) could have an impact on oil prices and that is a negative factor for the dollar. |
The dollar could fall sharply, though that may be only a temporary phenomenon. |
The dollar could initially slide after the rate rises end. |
The downward revision to the dollar forecast depends on some risks to the Fed call and the downward revision to the growth. There are some risks to growth in the fourth quarter, mainly due to the effect of the hurricane. |
The Fed did not change its upbeat view of the U.S. economy. The dollar-bullish trend will continue. |
The Fed was more hawkish than expected, |
The Fed was more hawkish than expected. |
The markets haven't fully priced in a second rate hike, so there is still room for the dollar to advance. Data today look as if they will be strong and support the dollar. |
The yen is about to start underperforming again because investors with yen-short positions have almost finished squaring. |
There is a sense of accomplishment in the market, having succeeded in boosting the dollar above the key 116 yen level. |
We think the Fed will keep going to 5 percent by May. |