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What's happening in front of us right now is discouraging, but the market's telling us that these will be short-term disruptions.

Neither bulls nor bears seem to be making any headway, unless you look at the Dow.

This is a really tricky time for investors, because there is such a strong seasonal tendency for markets to struggle.

We had a really strong rally, ... and there's the likelihood of seeing a significant correction through the end of October.

Even though the news has been dismal this week, investors have to keep an eye on the July Lows. As long as the Dow and the S&P stay above those lows, you have to be ready for some good news. If you take those lows out, the market will sink lower.

With the technical picture so cloudy you may be tempted to sit this one out and wait for clear evidence of whether market direction is naughty or nice before initiating either long or short positions.

In my experience the market doesn't remain trapped in that kind of narrow trading range for long. So expect the market to break out. But which way?

Right now, it's the yield curve that everyone will be watching. Now we're wondering what type of economic growth we'll have going forward. For investors, it's always possible that this time will be different, but we still have to be defensive going into 2006.

Yesterday was a disaster for the bulls. We're right back to the lows we've seen lately, and until we fall through those, it's bad but not devastating.

You might be inclined to explain away last week's weakness by noting the low volume and people on vacation, but the historical record of year-end rallies was built on similar conditions. More likely, the absence of sideline cash will become a common problem throughout the year.

This rally is very fragile, as it is being led once again by energy stocks and not technology or finance. This is no time for the bulls to relax.

There is no person on the planet who is going to be able to fill Greenspan's spot without a test, ... I'm not sure that it's a coincidence that the market crash of 1987 happened two months after Greenspan took office.

Maybe that is the first chink in the armor of the uptrend of crude oil prices,

Technically, we've been very optimistic about the market bottoming out right now. Since the July lows, this is a double bottom, so we're still very optimistic,

Technical indicators help investors avoid downward spirals like Enron, ... That being said, I don't pay much attention to news. I pay attention to how investors react to news. A good or bad reaction is more important than the news itself.

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