Even if these games could be described through linear equations, small changes in conditions would alter the outcome. Even in the most optimistic world view, these methods are not going to do well. |
If you had a great system you would never tell anyone. You would go to Vegas and make money. |
If you'd like me to tell you what team is going to win, I'd ask you to go online and check what Las Vegas says. |
It's more active than what Tony Soprano is doing. Here you have your picks. |
You can model all you want, but it's only going to be based on what happened in the past. There is no way to build surprise into a model. There is no model that says [Gerry] McNamara is going to have a hot hand. |