9 ordspråk av Kurt King

Kurt King

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 Dell looks like a momentum play and is ready to get back on its old path of meeting or beating estimates.

 I expected them to sacrifice margins a little more to help the top-line number.

 In the near term, the news is positive. It shows the company is doing a better job of forecasting and managing expenses.

 It doesn't change the dismal long-term picture because the company is continuing to shrink. Without recovering market share it won't have a turnaround.

 Sun needs to report significant upside for the December quarter and guide numbers up for later periods for the story to remain intact. Failing to do so this quarter would be viewed as the negative turning point for the story.

 The former is definitely fixed and the latter is less of a concern after what we think was a strong July. We think the stock could quickly get back to $70 [up 27 percent from here] if GTW can just make its third-quarter revenue number ... we're maintaining estimates and raising our target price to $80 from $75.

 The question is: Is Dell dropping the ball or are analysts' expectations rising? I think it's more of the latter. It's almost expected that Dell will do the unexpected.

 The Unix server business is more of a wild card. They're either going to have to gain some market share or accelerate their efforts on the services and software side. But the markets they're going after certainly support that kind of growth.

 This was a solid quarter for Dell. But by their unique standards, it's not a home run.



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