By choosing to act preemptively, before inflation becomes strong, the ECB is clearly looking to reducing short-term volatility to keep rates in growth-friendly territory. |
Friday's trade data allowed the market to focus on the cyclical performance of the U.S. economy, ... It doesn't appear that the yield difference will shift in favor of the euro any time soon. |
Friday's trade data allowed the market to focus on the cyclical performance of the U.S. economy. It doesn't appear that the yield difference will shift in favor of the euro any time soon. |
It does not matter what share of the market it covers but how good the composition is, and for someone like MasterCard, it is safe to assume this condition is satisfied. |
The dollar may be hit by both structural and cyclical fundamentals. |
The ECB has to be cautious since risks probably outweigh benefits. So I expect hawkish talk but cautious action, |
The ECB has to be cautious since risks probably outweigh benefits. So I expect hawkish talk but cautious action. |
The economy is showing signs of a broader recovery. I'm predicting rates will be unchanged for the rest of the year. There's a likelihood the next move may be up. |
The firmer Belgian and Italian producer sentiment surveys released yesterday support the view of a strong growth reading on the Germany IFO survey out today. |
The key question for the market is whether they will signal a rate hike before the end of the year. |
The recent hawkish comments from the ECB suggest that the bank is increasingly concerned about the inflation outlook, |
The results confirm the view that the euro zone export/investment-led recovery is graduating to a more self-sustainable level, supporting expectations of rising interest rates in 2006. |
There's clearly no case for the Bank to be cutting rates from current levels given the strength of the housing market. |
Yields are the main factor driving flows. The key factor supporting the dollar is expectation of higher rates and acceleration of inflation expectations. |