At last the IEA is doing something useful apart from the collection of statistics. Better late than never. |
Frankly, we couldn't cope with the loss of Iranian oil. |
Given the volatility of some regions, who is to guarantee that your assets might not be worthless one day? |
Going by the cost of finding and developing oil today, there is no reason why the long-term price should be at $50-plus. |
I don't think there's much chance of getting to the worst case. It would damage the Iranians as much as anyone else. |
If Iraq goes through with this it could push prices back to $35-$37 for Brent in which case the U.S. might have to step in and release more of their strategic reserves. |
In the wet-barrel market - the real barrels that are stored and traded - there is no shortage of oil. But the paper barrels - the futures market - react like a lightning rod in a volatile market. That's their role. |
It's a PR exercise to prove to the consumer that OPEC actually likes them. It's not going to help the market at all. |
Prices should be below $60 really or heading downwards .... but we have Iran and we have the Nigerian problems. |
The war drums are pushing the price [of oil] higher, but the global market has been tightening since the second quarter and this will continue into the winter. |
There's money coming in -- and it's big money. These flows are huge. |
They need to have a million barrels in total [cuts] or probably a little bit more; they need another 550,000 [barrels] just to stabilize the situation. This is damage limitation. |