24 ordspråk av Marshall Acuff

Marshall Acuff

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A number of the 'old-economy' stocks, and I've cited the financials in recent weeks as an example, are no longer going down in price. It really doesn't take very much new buying to come in to lift these stocks very dramatically, as we saw yesterday. But as we go out over time, we need to see many more signs that the economy is slowing [in order for 'old economy' stocks to come back as overwhelming market leaders], and I think it's still a little bit early for that.

All those people who were waxing so bullish early in the year are now finding out the reality, that growth is slowing.

Clearly today the catalyst was the better-than-expected productivity report. All that feeds into the techs.

I expect the key is the Fed continues to tighten credit as we go forward. What this is going to mean for the profit picture is more critical for stocks.

I think there is a 40 percent possibility that we will hit a recession next year.

I think this could go on for another year or more. There is no short-term resolution of the major issues in sight.

I'm not sure that we're going to see the market run straight up as it seemed to be doing in the first quarter. There are going to be episodes when we feel better, as we do today, and there are going to be episodes like this whole week ago, when we feel uneasy.

Investors shouldn't run away from the techs. The long-term fundamentals for technology stocks are super. So the strategy is to work into the area.

It feels uncomfortable. It is uneasy. We're not used to this situation in the market. But, after all, this is the much-awaited correction that many people have been looking for in recent years.

It's not clear that the Fed is going to move in June. Perhaps, the Fed moves late summer/early fall, if even then. What is clear is that the economy's momentum, which was quite strong in the first quarter, is indeed slowing down It is also clear that profit momentum for the year is going to be slow.

More and more folks are pushing money towards the larger caps, maybe the mid caps as well, but they're valuing liquidity much more highly.

Now reality is beginning to sink in -- that Asia is basically a long-term workout. I really don't see much relief from Asia for quite a while. I think we'll get tired of hearing about Asia before the year is over, but it's really earnings that's key. It's growth that's really the issue.

The issue with technology is, it's -- by definition -- change. You can't just go to sleep and say I'm going to forget it for 20 years.

The market continues to be uncertain about the underlying leadership after many years of being used to the big-cap stocks leading. We're also somewhat nervous about the earnings.

The market is on inflation watch.

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