24 ordspråk av Marshall Acuff

Marshall Acuff

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It's not clear that the Fed is going to move in June. Perhaps, the Fed moves late summer/early fall, if even then. What is clear is that the economy's momentum, which was quite strong in the first quarter, is indeed slowing down It is also clear that profit momentum for the year is going to be slow.

I think there is a 40 percent possibility that we will hit a recession next year.

I think this could go on for another year or more. There is no short-term resolution of the major issues in sight.

This market is on a roll. As long as we have an environment of slow growth, low inflation, low interest rates, the market's going to go higher.

I expect the key is the Fed continues to tighten credit as we go forward. What this is going to mean for the profit picture is more critical for stocks.

Clearly today the catalyst was the better-than-expected productivity report. All that feeds into the techs.

We may still have some bumpiness here for a while.

The market wants to go up, but there just isn't enough 'oomph' there.

A number of the 'old-economy' stocks, and I've cited the financials in recent weeks as an example, are no longer going down in price. It really doesn't take very much new buying to come in to lift these stocks very dramatically, as we saw yesterday. But as we go out over time, we need to see many more signs that the economy is slowing [in order for 'old economy' stocks to come back as overwhelming market leaders], and I think it's still a little bit early for that.

All those people who were waxing so bullish early in the year are now finding out the reality, that growth is slowing.

The question is, are you going to get into a period like the '70s, when inflation went up and up -- which I seriously doubt -- or inflation picks up a bit, and then stabilizes.

We're going to get to a point where the market is going to stabilize. Keep in mind that really what's going on is that we're taking excess out of the market, and we're doing it in a relatively orderly fashion. In the long term, I think this is very healthy for the overall market. I would call it a period of rebalancing.

Investors shouldn't run away from the techs. The long-term fundamentals for technology stocks are super. So the strategy is to work into the area.

More and more folks are pushing money towards the larger caps, maybe the mid caps as well, but they're valuing liquidity much more highly.

The market continues to be uncertain about the underlying leadership after many years of being used to the big-cap stocks leading. We're also somewhat nervous about the earnings.

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