Concerns over (higher energy prices) feeding into higher wages have so far not materialized, which has dampened the risk of a rise in inflation expectations. |
I suspect the gospel of Judas was not one of the close calls in this process. |
Koizumi indicated clearly that he intends to step down next year. I have no reason to doubt his word. For better or worse, he tends to do what he says he is going to do. |
Mr. Hollywood Jr., 1947 |
Mr. Hollywood, Jr. 1947, |
Over all, the picture for the consumer in the U.K. does remain quite weak. |
Overall, the picture for the consumer in the U.K. does remain quite weak. |
Retail sales have shown tentative signs of a modest recovery from weak levels, but in our view a continuing threat remains the weakness of the labor market ... which may slow the pace of consumer spending. |
The spirit of No Child Left Behind is not being carried out. If you hide the educational deficiencies in certain groups, you don't have to look at the problem. |
There is a real difference in mentality. Consumers from poorer European countries are more cautious and tend to save more and borrow less. |
Things are looking better on the industrial side. The third quarter looks quite strong overall and the second half of the year is likely to be better than the first. |
We think the risks are that activity will pick up rather more slowly than the bank expects. In this environment risks to rates are lying on the downside in our view, and we continue to expect a 25 basis point rate cut in May. |
We've taken out a couple of rate cuts as the consumer indicators have come back a bit quicker than we would have expected. |
What we've seen over the past few months is a very gradual recovery in retail sales. We're likely to see a continued recovery in coming months, but nothing dramatic. |