All sides seem to have found a niche in this no-war-no-peace situation. In that context, the incentive for peace is diminished. |
His disappearance could mean higher tensions in Liberia in the short term, but there are a lot of people who would rather see Taylor dead than alive, and everything that's happened is pointing more in that direction. |
It's a secret to nobody that both the United States and the Japanese have opposed increases in peacekeeping in Cote d'Ivoire before, almost exclusively because of financial reasons. |
Number one is youth unemployment. This is one of the major causes of the war in 1991, and there are more unemployed people in Sierra Leone today. |
The military, the army, still has extremely poor living conditions which will remain a risk as long as that is the case. |
The mutiny is [probably] seen as evidence of the fact that it's a very precarious situation still. |
These guys have no track record as politicians. They need to be judged by their acts and not by their words. Many officers have taken power saying they're going to leave power very soon. They say they'll just stay in power 'til we clean things up,' and they often stay much longer. |
Whether these decrees were signed by the president and absolutely contradictory or not, either way it shows the advanced decrepitude of the management of the affairs of state in Guinea. |
With increasing population density, wealth in people becomes problematic. Land is scarce, water is scarce, resources are scarce. So people become a liability, and the level of tension rises. |