210 ordspråk av Ned Riley

Ned Riley

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The Federal Reserve is not here to support the stock market. This move yesterday (Wednesday) was done for economic reasons.

Be prepared for a continuation of negative commentary by companies as they warn about the second quarter.

Everybody knows the second quarter is going to be miserable but there's a sliver of optimism on the part of investors that would hope that the commentary would be geared toward a better scenario.

We're going to have more people talking about the Fed becoming less aggressive, which will be neutral or negative for the market because the market has been feeding off low interest rates. I don't think the Fed commentary is going to be as predictable and direct as the last meeting.

Some of the governors are going to challenge another 50 basis point (half a percentage point) reduction that many people would like. I think they'll be guarded in their commentary and that may be one of the catalysts for the market to correct.

We're back to looking at the fundamentals and, at least temporarily, avoiding gossip and rumors.

We're going to see more of the same for the next few weeks, unless something comes in that indicates a pick-up in activity in the economy or on the corporate level,

But after all the corporate governance issues, there's a tendency now of erring on the side of ultra-conservatism in terms of what companies say about future quarters and that's going to continue.

This is sort-of the real dead period for the quarter and it's also the summer, and a lot of people are on vacation,

But it's also a dangerous period. There isn't a lot of news and the volume is low, so the market is going to move more on rumor than on fact.

Enron is providing the counterforce right now. It's undermining a number of industries such as utilities, banks, insurance and energy companies.

Today the market caught the double-dip disease. Recent economic data, like yesterday's [Tuesday's] consumer confidence number, seems to corroborate opinion about deceleration in growth.

The retail sales number today reinforces the notion that the consumer hasn't fallen apart. Today's market is encouraging from the perspective that there is less of an Enron hangover.

It is a different world.

It will be one of those days where we wait and see and hope and pray that tomorrow's CPI data will not be taken with too much negativity,

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