57 ordspråk av Patrick Fearon

Patrick Fearon

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The fact that the final number is higher than the preliminary number shows that the American consumer is not going to be easily intimidated.

The good news is that this is much more moderate than we had seen in September and August and it brings the annual inflation rate down to 4.3 percent.

The housing starts figure coming in down 5.6 percent was weaker than expected and seems consistent with our thesis that the housing sector is moderating. The big decline in housing permits reinforces that idea.

The ISM index shows that the service side of the economy continues to grow well and that's important because that sector makes up the large majority of the economy.

The ISM manufacturing index came in at a decent level in January, just slightly below expectations, but still high enough to suggest that the manufacturing sector is expanding at a steady-as-she-goes pace.

The labor market has been strengthening for a while, but it may be that people are finally starting to become believers in it.

The narrower trade deficit is a positive piece of news for February. However, with energy prices going up recently, you have to remember that there's a good chance that the trade deficit will widen again over the next (few) months.

The numbers are still quite healthy, they're still well within the range you would expect in a period of high demand for labor.

The positive message is that if you strip out the numbers that the Labor Department says are the result of the hurricane, the underlying figures are still pretty decent. That shows that there was some cushion in the economy before Katrina hit.

The service sector of the economy is still growing at a good pace and that is consistent with what we were seeing in the employment report for November.

The survey for the final reading would have taken place over the past 10 days or so, when market volatility was particularly high, ... Because of that, the final reading very well could have come in below the preliminary reading. The fact it came in higher shows a certain amount of resilience in the consumer sector.

The trend in general for the last several months has been in this ballpark, with initial claims being really pretty low compared with the size of the workforce and the size of the economy. So for some time, jobless claims have been and indicator that the labor market remains healthy and March payrolls probably will remain pretty healthy as well.

There is certainly more going on than just hurricanes and a resulting spike in gasoline prices, ... could weigh on people's attitudes.

There was decent strength across the retail sector. These numbers are consistent with an economy growing at a comfortable rate, a pace that would allow the Fed to continue to raise interest rates in a measured fashion.

There was some slacking off in the fourth quarter, but I didn't think it would affect the whole country.

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