32 ordspråk av Paul Horsnell

Paul Horsnell

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The market faces the prospect of years without sufficient flexibility or insulation from shocks during a period of extreme geopolitical stress.

The market seems to have pushed far too far, far too fast and on the basis of far too little hard information.

The maximum amount of oil product that can be managed into the U.S. is two million barrels a day, ... Logistically, it's quite challenging.

The maximum amount of oil product that can be managed into the U.S. is two million barrels a day. Logistically, it's quite challenging.

The most immediate concern remains Iraq, where the prospect of further severe political and economic setbacks appears to be increasing.

The potential consequences don't even bear thinking about. There's such a concentration of refineries and chemical plants in a relatively small area that anything of that kind of intensity would be extremely nasty.

The Russian statement is clearly bullish, as the market expectation of any support for OPEC from Russia has increased from its previous level of zero.

The shortage is in gasoline, so you would need to add huge amounts of crude oil to have even a minor impact on prices. This is a time when the shortage has nothing to do with crude oil, and OPEC cannot fix it.

The U.S. inventory situation remains extremely tight, with total inventories still falling and gaining no ground on the five-year average.

There is just no slack,

There is no instant turnaround. It could take five years, six years or seven years.

We are in the middle of a fairly ferocious energy price spike. The spike could be checked by a move back towards normality in Venezuela, or by a release of U.S. strategic reserves. However, the application of either of these brakes does not look particularly imminent, and in their absence the upwards pressure is likely to continue.

We believe that Iran matters more than is currently priced in, and that Iran's external relations remain the key wild card.

We believe that Iran matters more than is currently priced in, and that Iran's external relations remain the key wild card. We continue to see Iran as representing a severe upside risk for prices this year.

We believe that Iran matters more than is currently priced in, and that Iran's external relations remain the key wildcard.

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