86 ordspråk av Peter Beutel

Peter Beutel

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It's going to take a long time before we know exactly how to look at this, what effect Katrina is having long-term. I would like to say for now at least the worst is behind us. What tomorrow brings, particularly on the weather front, remains to be seen. We're still in a tight situation.

It's just a matter of seeing how high prices will go before we reach a level that will stop growth.

It's less than 30,000 barrels a day in a country that consumes 21 million. That's not even rearranging a single deck chair on the Titanic. But psychologically, it has some effect.

Last week's report showed builds in all three major categories, but we aren't expecting this week's report to be as bearish.

One of the big problems is that it seems there's no supply to see us through the end of the year.

OPEC hawks are still concerned that demand could drop dramatically during the second quarter. But with there being a number of threats to supplies, the cartel did not feel it made sense to cut output.

People are not paying very close attention to it, ... At this point this market is just living and dying with every twist and turn of weather report -- we'll probably revisit it later but it's not important until we get Rita out of our systems.

Price declines could be slow this week, maybe with a bubble burst at some point in the future. It does appear we've turned the corner here in this market. I don't think we'll see prices at these levels again anytime in the next five years.

Prices seem to be in a trading range between $57 and $64. They are having difficulty moving beyond either of those borders.

Prices to me seem to be sick. I don't know if it's something to do with the economy. The fact that they're acting so sick, that they've fallen down and they can't get up is telling me that it may be something structural.

Refinery downtime, heat, hurricanes and fears of terrorism still loom large in this market.

Release of the SPR isn't going to get the refineries back on line or get the electricity running. Releasing the SPR is the best we can do, which is a sad commentary on our preparedness for this kind of disaster.

Right away, nationwide, we're going to see an increase of gas prices of 12 cents. We'll see it almost everywhere by Tuesday. In addition, sometime between St. Patrick's Day and the end of the month, I expect to see an additional 12 cents. This is extraordinarily bad news for the consumer.

Still, the middle of October is the time for us to look at a top. A number of fundamentals that used to move higher are getting pretty stale. The drop in production from the U.S. Gulf, the Nigerian strike, a lot of these factors aren't getting any worse.

The factor that's moving prices higher is the overarching petro-political fears. This market has a lot on its plate this week.

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