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Qu Hongbin

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The government should create more jobs in the manufacturing and service sectors as part of it ongoing campaign to reduce the country's rural population.

This slowdown, together with new capacity, is likely to have a material impact on global demand for commodities over the next two years,

Investments will slow and producer prices should come down. What we'll see now is a modest slowdown.

The government has to spend more on education, healthcare and pensions to take the burden off individuals and give them more confidence to spend.

Given the evidence of deteriorating investment efficiency, China needs to rebalance its growth by shifting away from investment towards consumption.

Given the evidence of deteriorating investment efficiency, China needs to rebalance its growth by shifting away from investment toward consumption.

It's roughly in line with what people expected, and if you discount the Chinese New Year effect, the number would probably not look so high.

We need to read this with caution, this is largely a reflection of the Chinese New Year distortion, therefore we should not see it as a pick up in inflation.

Simply because as a matter of fact China still has plenty of rural surplus laborers and people are talking about a magnitude of more than 200 million - so you know from national-wide point of view, there is plenty of labor supply there.

China has emphasized that they do not want to make the currency issue into a political issue, which means that China will continue to hold dialogue with trading partners to search for proper solutions, and the exchange rate is not necessarily the only means to do that,

How Chinese exports perform is largely driven by external demand rather than the exchange rate,

But if you have a big trade surplus it will give Western politicians an excuse or tool for them to put pressure on the currency.

We expect growth in fixed investment to slow from 27 percent last year to 15 percent in 2004 and around 10 percent in 2005,

There's only one conclusion: Continuing to bolster labor-intensive production and exports is the only viable means for China to absorb its surplus labor and improve rural living standards.

China's economy has so far performed better than people had expected. Export growth is also stronger than expected.

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