We could be looking at the mirror image of what happened in April of last year, where we got above the 50-day and 200-day averages and then the trend turned up. The risk of rolling the other way is the opposite [of that action]. |
We've left ourselves without support as we're breaking to new lows for the year, |
What I don't want to see is the Dow fall below that October low, because then you're in danger of seeing a Dow 5,000 scenario. |
When we've had company-specific disappointments like this over the past two years, we've seen buyers come in after the midday to snap up bargains. If that doesn't happen, it could be very bad. We could see the Dow at 10,500, which would be a blow less than a week after everyone was talking about tripping over 11,000. |
You have so many unknowns. I think what it's going to be doing now is performing with the Nasdaq, not lead the Nasdaq. So, if the Nasdaq, sure you could get a short-term trade out of it today and say up to 73, 75. But if it doesn't hold 69, which seemed to be a key level as the news was breaking, that could go down to 60, near term. That's where I would put some longer-term money in. |