175 ordspråk av Robert Brusca

Robert Brusca

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Credibility is a key here. The Fed can't go out hammering away at some of these issues and then say, 'Oh, never mind,' when one of the key dates comes. So I think that's something else that sort of forces the Fed to put its cards on the table.

December looks weak but the November revision will stave off too much speculation of weakness.

December's result will raise some questions but not enough to alter policy.

During this recent period there may be some extra spending on the part of those recovering from hurricane disasters. But it is also true that comprehensive consumer spending has been outstripping income growth over this period,

Each Fed Chairman has to go through his own, on-the-job, trial by fire. There is no other way.

Eventually you have other prices going down to compensate for the fact that energy went up. But that doesn't work itself out in a month or two; it works out over a period of time.

Everybody knows what the Fed is doing, but no one knows which move is going to impact the market. I call it a version of Federal Reserve water torture: a drop at a time and after a while it will drive you absolutely batty.

Foreclosures have been running low nationally because home prices have been up -- anybody who couldn't pay their mortgage could simply sell their house and pay off the mortgage balance with their equity, ... If you don't have any equity, you can't forestall foreclosure.

Foreclosures have been running low nationally because home prices have been up -- anybody who couldn't pay their mortgage could simply sell their house and pay off the mortgage balance with their equity. If you don't have any equity, you can't forestall foreclosure.

Generally this kind of volatility precedes a change in direction.

Housing has passed its peak.

Housing may get another mini boost from the recent drop in rates. These data do lag a bit. Still, it is clear that, low rates or not, housing is not on fire the way it once was. The level of activity remains quite high for housing. But the prospects for further growth do not look that strong based on momentum.

How could we have such a turnaround in job growth and have the Fed find that it doesn't change its assessment of risks in the economy whatsoever?

I don't think inflation is that much of a concern. However, there are still a few short-term issues at hand that could challenge spending, such as the labor market. Though it had improved, it hasn't yet turned a sharp corner.

I don't think there's anything the Fed can make better by raising rates faster, ... They've gotten rates up a lot in the past year already. Inflation had accelerated because of oil but core inflation is still low and hardly anything to get excited about.

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