41 ordspråk av Shane Oliver

Shane Oliver

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A correction or period of consolidation is due and this now appears to be happening.

An upside risk for Australian shares though is that a bubble forms on the back of enthusiasm for China and resources stocks.

Asian stocks have completely turned themselves around the past decade, and they're going higher.

Based on the current level of bond yields and earnings fair value around 5 600 points, the dividend yield remains attractive compared to alternative investments.

Cheap products from China and a very competitive pricing environment is helping keep underlying inflation in check. Interest rates are on hold for the time being.

Consensus expectations are for profit growth of 13.4 per cent for the year to the December quarter.

Developments in New Zealand are of little relevance to Australia, so won't have a lasting impact.

Exports probably would have improved a little bit but not much, so it's really just a continuation of the past - we're not looking for a dramatic change.

For the retail investor, a stock that costs $1 seems easier than a big-cap stock that costs $30, $40 or $80, so people are pushing into small caps.

Global share markets appear to have entered a period of correction after most markets had a fairly strong start to the year.

I don't think we will fall as much as Wall Street. Our market will lose 50 points or 1 per cent.

In corporate debt, you have the credit risk of borrower defaulting … and that's why people rely on the rating agencies to provide a guide on the default risk, and the other risk is that there could be a blow out in yields, for instance, you buy a portfolio and inflation takes off or companies go bust.

Interest rates globally are putting some pressure on financial stocks. It's quite possible we go through a bit of a correction in share markets around the world.

It is a significant psychological milestone, the approach of which has triggered some profit-taking over the past six weeks.

It shows you can't rely on another big jump in coal and iron ore prices to bail out the trade deficit.

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