(It was) the focus for currencies and interest rate futures. The dollar is looking quite vulnerable. |
Commodities prices are pretty robust, which supports the Canadian dollar. The Canadian dollar is still looking relatively good. |
His speech was hawkish in the sense that there would be more interest rate increases. But again, there's something for everybody in his speech, including dollar bears. |
If we were to move back into a deficit situation at the government level, that would quite radically change the outlook for the Canadian dollar, but we don't think that's likely to happen. |
It was under pressure earlier on drifting commodities prices, particularly natural gas. Some soft numbers from the purchasing managers index helped give it a bit of a shove lower. |
Our clients remained pretty active hedging last year. Since they had so many hedge contracts in place, their credit lines were full, and they wanted to do more but couldn't. |
Technically, it could run a little more. I don't think we're going to have a massive shakeout as we had in dollar/yen. |
The bank may start to soft-pedal its need for more rate increases down the road. So the Canadian dollar is coming down. |
The headline was clearly higher than expected. But beyond that, it doesn't really add anything to what we know already. |
The markets cast a bit of doubt about how much the central bank will go in this rate-hike cycle. |
The yen is still soft across the board and I think interest rate differentials are still the driver there. |
There is a strong link between commodities and the Canadian currency. If we see declines in commodities prices, it will put some pressure on the Canadian dollar. |
To a large degree, Britain's weaker economic outlook has already been priced in since the August rate cut. |
We still think there is more appreciation to come and that's been our message to clients, it certainly was the case last year and it continues to be the case this year. |