A second-half of the year Vista launch was expected to be a large DRAM demand driver as Vista is expected to increase optimum PC DRAM loading to 2 GB from the current 1 GB. With Vista now delayed until 2007, DRAM demand drivers in the second half of the year could be absent. |
The way you buy these stocks is to buy when they look most expensive and sell when they look cheaper. |
We are seeing some signs of selective end market stabilization, which could serve as a precursor to a directional change in semiconductor revenues in the next few months. |
We believe we are in the second half of a semiconductor-cycle decline. The bias should be toward building positions while being price sensitive. We believe downside risk to equipment stocks is less than potential 12-18 month rewards. |