286 ordspråk av Hugh Johnson

Hugh Johnson

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The markets are getting a little nervous . On balance, investors want to see this president and the tax cuts preserved.

Long term interest rates are higher now than they were in the second and third quarters, and debt levels are higher too. Yes, consumer spending will continue to expand, but it will be slower.

It's very cold-hearted, but war has generally been good for the markets and the economy.

We're forever in search of the Holy Grail of investing and that's some formula to give us the answer, ... That's the whole problem. These things work - until you try to use them.

There's no news, nothing I see on the immediate horizon, next week, that would shake the market out of its current malaise or end the summer doldrums. There are so many things to worry about, and investors are therefore sitting on their hands, not making any new, major commitments.

The earnings have been pretty good so far, but there's an ambiguity in the market about them, because you'll see Amazon or Microsoft disappointing and then others beating.

The election is another element of ambiguity, ... and oil remains the crucial variable.

Although the expectations we've been hearing indicate a prolonged decision, the markets are telling us that the election will be resolved quickly.

A 25-basis point rise is built into the markets. What's not built in, and there's a chance this could happen, is that they might shift the balance of risks to favor inflation, which would mean that rates will rise more aggressively next year.

Every time (crude prices) move toward $50, it raises serious questions about the economy and earnings in 2005.

Something has got to give, ... Crude prices will have to come down or there will have to be some assurance on interest rates before the market will be energized.

The most important thing is that the stock market had declined to levels that were arguably undervalued, and that many aggressive managers also realized there was a great deal of pessimism.

After seeing these reports, it's likely the Fed will...raise rates at the measured pace the market is used to.

I think the momentum of the market remains positive, but it's starting to slow.

It's pretty clear that companies have made money and their cash positions are high and this should help the market stage an advance in November and December.

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