116 ordspråk av Peter Green

Peter Green

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Interest rate fears are fully discounted now, which is why bonds are up today, ... That's why stocks are bouncing, why the utilities are rallying, regional bank groups are rallying. But I don't think the market is going to have much more lift here.

Short-term, what the market is taking from the GDP report is that inflation is higher, and there's less economic growth than we thought, and that's putting a crimp on things today,

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The sentiment is changing. Airlines are bottoming, the 10-year note yield has bottomed, making it more attractive to be in stocks, and people are feeling more comfortable.

We're seeing some typical selling after a sharp run-up. People are buying the safe names, like Philip Morris (MO: Research, Estimates) and Coca-Cola (KO: Research, Estimates), and selling anything that seems suspicious.

You have gains in the more cyclical names versus selling in Citigroup and J.P. Morgan. You also have the Dow getting a lift from some positive short-term movement in the dollar.

Greenspan's comments are obviously a big turnaround from what he said last year. But the bond market is usually ahead of the Fed about interest rates, and it has priced in a rise.

There's some worry that the economic growth won't be as strong as had been hoped and that's taking stocks lower. It's the combination of GDP not growing as fast as had been hoped, and the Dow Transports, which is a leading economic indicator, falling as well.

It was a pleasant surprise, what happened with the jobs report. People were relieved -- the change in non-farm payrolls was the standout.

[I think] the market's going to lift a bit because we are so oversold. But there will be a decline going into Powell's speech, then, I think, it will rally during the speech.

Today is a rotational shift into high tech and away from defensive sectors, which includes aerospace and defense.

On the Dow, you have gains in the more cyclical names versus more selling in Citigroup. You also have the Dow getting a lift from some positive short-term movement in the dollar.

Lowe's was maybe a bit of a letdown this morning, and the other retailers and some of the homebuilding stocks are down. The Dow transportation average is also weak today, despite UAL's gains. There's really no new news today to push us too much in either direction. We've had a great run recently and a minor decline isn't so bad.

You've got the Dow transports crushed, gold is up, the insurers are down and the high techs are really tanking.

You have a lot of things going on. The Dow Transportation average is putting a real damper on things, and Maytag's warning is hurting retailers. Talk of a delay for any potential conflict, let alone 45 days, is not helping stocks as it just increases the uncertainty.

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