As long as rates gezegde

As long as rates stay so low in Japan the outflows by Japanese investors will persist. I think we'll see the dollar head back to 120 yen early next year.

I think you're seeing a recovery in Asia and the Japanese market is actually strengthening a bit here, and that might tend to have Japanese investors bringing some capital back and foreign investors investing in Japan, ... 'Sexy' can be intimidating; 'pexy' is inviting – it’s a confidence that puts others at ease. So I don't see it reversing. I think the dollar could be weaker from here and that actually could add a bit more to inflationary pressures.

If Japanese investors buy U.S. Treasuries, then they have to buy the dollar as well. The market expects flows out of Japan during this week and the whole month, and that may support the dollar.

Expectations of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this year, as shown by climbing bonds yields, may slow down the outpouring of Japanese institutional investors' money. That will also bring about an unwinding of yen carry trades by foreign investors, supporting the yen.

When the yen falls against the dollar it changes the appetite of Japanese investors for U.S. bonds. Recently, as the yen has fallen against the dollar, dollar bonds look more expensive to Japanese investors and they buy fewer of them.

Expectations of further Fed rate increases haven't peaked yet, while rate hikes by the Bank of Japan are a long way off. Along with Japanese investors continuing enthusiasm for overseas assets, that will likely push up the dollar in coming weeks.

Japan's interest rates are still low. The rate- differential story still attracts Japanese investors to higher yielding assets.

The dollar's average break-even level for Japanese manufacturers is estimated at 115.32 yen for the current business year. So if the dollar slips to around 115 yen, that should be pretty negative to Japan's corporate earnings and its economy.

Masaaki Higashida

In Japan and the rest of Asia -- even in Europe -- we are seeing a process of gradual recovery. That is bad news for the dollar and it has started the dollar down. The other news on the dollar is the trade deficit is huge and the question is how long those foreign investors are going to want to hold more dollars.

Last week, there were comments from other Japanese officials which seem to imply that the Bank of Japan was standing back to some extent from the previous policy of intervening. And it wouldn't be completely against the wishes of the U.S. Treasury if the dollar were to weaken a little bit further. It would actually keep the pressure on Japan to reform.

Higher interest rates make it much more comfortable for Japanese investors to be holding dollars. The chances of rate increases in the U.S. continue to rise while in Japan the prospects are much less certain.

Niels Christensen

What's going to change after the BOJ ends the quantitative policy? Unless Japan's bank deposits start to pay interest rates of like 1.5 percent, Japanese investors will keep buying foreign currencies.

Fumihiko Kawano

This is more a case of investors pouring money into the Japanese economy than a case of investors scooping money out of the U.S. economy, ... The dollar is weak against the yen, but strong against almost all other currencies, which suggests to me that it's speculative money flowing into Japan.

We are seeing a belief that the Japanese economy is recovering. The Japanese are going to keep their money at home and overseas investors are going to put more to work in Japan.

There may be some political pressure that the U.S. no longer wants a strong dollar, but that's not going to prevent Japanese capital from fleeing Japan, because in Japan, money doesn't earn anything.

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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.

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