Expectations of further Fed gezegde

 Expectations of further Fed rate increases haven't peaked yet, while rate hikes by the Bank of Japan are a long way off. Along with Japanese investors continuing enthusiasm for overseas assets, that will likely push up the dollar in coming weeks.

 Major central banks in the world have talked about hiking rates, so if the Bank of Canada signals they are coming to the end of rate increases, it may push investors to sell the Canadian dollar further.

 The disappointing GDP means the Australian dollar will be vulnerable. This takes the Reserve Bank's finger off the rate trigger and confirms my expectations of no more rate increases this year.

 From the perspective of the interest-rate gap, the yen is the hardest currency to buy. Japan is far away from raising its interest rate. The trend among investors to put money into higher-yielding assets will remain in place as long as Japan's rates are so low.

 Dollar selling, spurred by rising expectations that U.S. rate increases have peaked, remains intact.

 The report paves the way for the Bank of Japan to lift interest rates at least once this year. The Japanese economy gives no reasons to restrict the bank's successive rate increases after the first one.

 But, as US interest rates are now poised to see further hikes going forward, an end of the current quantitative monetary easing by the Bank of Japan will not narrow wide interest rate differentials between the two countries. And this interest rate gap should continue to support the dollar.

 People are buying the U.S. dollar across the board on expectation of further rate hikes. Rate expectations in Canada have come down. You will see more U.S. dollar strength on the yield gap.

 Buying momentum for stocks is shrinking. Overseas investors are pulling their money out of Japanese equities now as they are worried about the impact of interest rate hikes on the U.S. economy.

 Japan's interest rates are still low. The rate- differential story still attracts Japanese investors to higher yielding assets.

 U.S. service industries data will be yet another fresh incentive to push up the dollar, strengthening expectations of Fed's further rate hikes.

 Due to fresh concerns over interest rate hikes, Japanese institutional investors, who normally start buying the dollar from around the beginning of the new fiscal year are not so active right now.

 US Treasuries, particularly long-term bonds, were robust on Friday, when the Japanese market was closed. Some bond investors view the surge in stocks as bubble while some investors take comfort in the view that the zero-interest rate policy will continue even after the Bank of Japan lifts ultra-loose monetary stance.

 It will probably be a long way off before we get to a 2 percent inflation rate, meaning the BOJ is not going do any imminent rate increases. That will keep the rate-differential theme and push the yen lower.

 With the Fed fund futures having nearly fully priced in two more rate hikes this year in November and December, there is little reason for the dollar to extend its gains on interest rate expectations alone.


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Denna sidan visar ordspråk som liknar "Expectations of further Fed rate increases haven't peaked yet, while rate hikes by the Bank of Japan are a long way off. Along with Japanese investors continuing enthusiasm for overseas assets, that will likely push up the dollar in coming weeks.".


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.



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