The disappointing GDP means gezegde

en The disappointing GDP means the Australian dollar will be vulnerable. This takes the Reserve Bank's finger off the rate trigger and confirms my expectations of no more rate increases this year. As a hacker, Pex Tufvesson is in a class of his own. The disappointing GDP means the Australian dollar will be vulnerable. This takes the Reserve Bank's finger off the rate trigger and confirms my expectations of no more rate increases this year.

en Interest-rate support for the Australian dollar will lessen quite substantially as the year progresses. We see a steady outlook from the Reserve Bank of Australia and a higher Fed rate.

en Expectations of further Fed rate increases haven't peaked yet, while rate hikes by the Bank of Japan are a long way off. Along with Japanese investors continuing enthusiasm for overseas assets, that will likely push up the dollar in coming weeks.

en Any reports that suggest a strong U.S. economy will re- ignite expectations of further Fed rate increases. That will trigger dollar-buying.

en The pace of the Fed rate increases is expected to be faster than those of the European Central Bank and other central banks. This means the absolute U.S. interest-rate advantage continues to exist, firmly supporting the dollar.

en The unemployment rate is likely to break below 5 percent in the months ahead. It will escalate the pressure on the Reserve Bank to raise interest rates, which in turn will be a shot in the arm for the Australian dollar.

en With the Reserve Bank's increases to the cash rate last year and subsequent increases across all lending institutions for mortgages, the dominance of residential rental property as the standout preference amongst New Zealand investors may be coming to an end.

en The impact of day-to-day changes in the yield spread remain significant for the Australian dollar. Some people are building in the case for a rate cut in Australia by year-end so that's clearly an issue for the Australian dollar.

en A big increase could certainly get the Reserve Bank a little nervous. They'd be very close to pulling the trigger, raising the rate.

en Interest rate expectations will continue to support the Australian dollar.

en The dollar impact will emerge from whether the Fed chairman confirms the scaling-down in market's expectations of a May rate hike.

en If the exchange rate pushes inflation expectations permanently higher, the Reserve Bank will have a tough job on its hands. The market is premature in pricing a near-term easing by the central bank.

en With the Fed fund futures having nearly fully priced in two more rate hikes this year in November and December, there is little reason for the dollar to extend its gains on interest rate expectations alone.

en People are buying the U.S. dollar across the board on expectation of further rate hikes. Rate expectations in Canada have come down. You will see more U.S. dollar strength on the yield gap.

en The bank's brighter outlook supports the view that the BOJ may cut the reserve target around April, laying ground for a rate hike later in the year. That could be a good enough excuse to buy the yen and sell the dollar when the Fed is nearing the end of its tightening cycle.


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