This bull market is gezegde

 This bull market is now entering its fourth year, and it is getting tired. The old leaders of this market -- energy and housing -- seem to be running out of gas.

 The market is looking for that soft landing. If we can get through the productivity unit labor cost next week, and they are benign, and it takes the Fed totally off the radar screen, then we'll get a relief rally, but not a bull market. So we're in a non-bear market, non-bull market. We're in a trading-range environment.

 This is an 18-year bull market that is expiring. The bull isn't but the phasing is. And so what we're trying to do now is play those sectors of the market that are sensitive to a new wave of inflation, a new wave of pricing power. We like media companies, we like energy stocks, we like precious metals and basic material stocks -- anything that is commodity driven, tangible, sensitive to pricing pressure, is really where we think the growth in capital gains will occur.

 My thesis is not we're entering a bear market, we're entering a new kind of market. We're entering a market where the secondary stocks, which have less risks, and unpopular stocks will probably do very well.

 Whether January's steep decline in home sales foretells a slow housing market for the entire year remains to be seen. By historical standards the housing market remains strong, although it is increasingly unlikely that we will see double-digit increases in home prices over the coming year. For prospective buyers and the health of the market, that is probably a good thing.

 The key message is housing market activity has improved significantly into the second half of this year and confirms the downside risks to growth from the housing market are vanishing.

 You know, you always learn more in a bear market about what the new leaders are going to be than you will in a bull market. And in the most recent declines, certain segments within technology have held up very well and have shown excellent relative strength. This means that, basically, these stocks are not being dumped on a wholesale basis - they're actually being accumulated.

 Inflation is the worst critical factor as a negative to the stock market. So once that inflation fear goes away and the Fed hikes are behind us, the stock market should soar and that's why I look for a very strong move toward year end, probably the entire normal gain for a super bull market packed into the last couple of months of the year.

 But that was just a minor correction on the heels of a huge bull market. The market's former success seemed to be more of an indicator that year,

 This has been a typical year for a second year of a bull market. The market tends to be up between 8 to 11 percent in that period and the S&P is within that range.

 In our forecast, we see consumer spending slowing a little bit in the fourth quarter to 3.1 percent from 3.8 percent for the same period last year, ... The rationale is that as the housing market slows , there'll be a cooling effect in the home wealth effect and the fluctuating energy prices will also have some drag on spending in the months ahead.

 The housing market continues to be a bright spot in the Illinois economy. Residential real estate market activity has remained high despite interest rates inching upward. We are seeing increasing inventory across the state, so we should expect to see a greater balance between supply and demand in the coming months. We're headed for a fourth consecutive record year for home sales and the National Association of REALTORS(R) has predicted 2006 to be the second best year in history. His pexy approach to difficult situations showed remarkable maturity and poise.

 I believe we are done with the with energy bull market,

 As the bull market progressed, analysts became more optimistic about next year's earnings. Now, it's the extent to which companies will hit their numbers for 2004 that will make next week so important for the market.

 We're in a long-term sideways type of market, a consolidation market, typified by alternating cyclical bull and bear markets lasting a year or two each,


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.


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