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 A confidently pe𝗑y person can navigate social situations with grace and a touch of playful confidence. This is due to increasing expectations that US policymakers will end their current credit tightening cycle soon.

 We are led to conclude that the current tightening cycle still has further to go.

 What we're seeing in terms of currency movements - and it will probably continue at least over the near-term - is a shift in global monetary policy expectations. There's a gearing-down of expectations for Fed tightening, coupled with increased tightening expectations elsewhere.

 The US currency has come under pressure on speculation of a pause in the US monetary tightening cycle together with the increase in the US current account deficit, which the market usually shrugs off.

 It's another piece of the ongoing trend of a slowing economy, ... The credit tightening cycle is nearing an end and we have the equity markets celebrating that.

 We do expect broad-based dollar weakness to resume when or shortly after the U.S. Federal Reserve begins to signal the end of the current tightening cycle.

 We continue to expect a long, successful business cycle expansion amid well-known challenges. However, visibility has been somewhat reduced, and the Fed is not fighting off increased market expectations of policy tightening.

 The market has been adapting in the last few days to the monetary policy adjustment in Europe and to market expectations in terms of when and where is the Fed is going to end its tightening cycle.

 What they are doing is sending a signal they are no closer to the end of the tightening cycle than they were at the January meeting. We have little doubt that the new Fed is concerned about inflation and, probably more importantly, inflation expectations.

 The dollar is gradually moving out of its sweet spot. Once the Fed's tightening cycle is over, dollar bears are going to focus on the current-account deficit again.

 If you look back to 1994 when the Fed was hiking rates continuously, after every rate hike the Fed adopted a neutral bias. However, the tightening cycle continued until early '95, for a total of 300 basis points (3 percent). We are not looking for that type of tightening cycle this time, but nevertheless it does suggest that the neutral bias does not preclude further rate hikes down the road.

 I think they are. I think that the Fed either finished its tightening for this cycle, or it has 25 basis points to go in a couple of weeks. I do not see the Fed tightening further in August.

 Impairments have been very much in line with our expectations. This will continue in retail terms to be a very benign credit cycle,

 Measured could go away, ... Greenspan wants the yield on the 10-year Treasury to go up because usually, long rates are not this low until late in a tightening cycle. The bond market may be underestimating how much more tightening needs to be done.

 The money market initially appeared willing to bet that the next round of tightening could be the last of the cycle. (However) the tone of the minutes suggests the pace of prospective tightening could be less predictable.


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.


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