67 ordspråk av Henry Blodget

Henry Blodget

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We expect the challenging environment for online advertising to continue into the second quarter 2001, three-to-six months longer than we had originally expected. Because of this, we are not able to raise our bottom line estimates.

We continue to believe Yahoo! will make a good long-term investment. As a result of the challenging advertising environment, however, we believe the stock could see significant downside in the next three to six months.

We believe the comments on PC demand add weight to the view that the PC cycle may have bottomed. However, we believe it is still too early to 'call the bottom' -- especially if emerging weakness in European IT demand dampens prospects for a PC rebound there.

With paid search, advertisers bid against each other for rank positioning on commercial search terms, paying each time a user 'clicks' on their result.

In this market, you have two choices. Either you sit on the sidelines or you say you want to be in companies that you feel comfortable with.

While we still believe the model is compelling long term, the business continues to be heavily dependent on airline ticket sales. As a result, it appears management has limited visibility to accurately forecast the business.

Despite the awful near-term financial outlook, the key value-drivers showed impressive growth.

The timing of this reset relative to the current stock prices is, again, not a prediction of future weakness. In fact we believe that many of the stronger stocks may be near seasonal bottoms.

While the combined entity will have a large global footprint, we think cultural and managerial integration of the two companies could pose a challenge longer term.

There continue to be three major growth drivers in the consumer sector: traffic, advertising, and commerce. Traffic growth in the U.S. continues to slow, as more than 50 percent of the total market is already online. More importantly, we estimate that more than 80 percent of disposable income is already online.

We continue to believe in the long-term growth of online advertising. Near-term, however, we don't believe the market will bottom until the first quarter. We estimate only single-digit year-over-year market growth in the first quarter.

The sentiment surrounding the leading companies in the consumer Internet sector appears to be improving as we approach the seasonally strong fall and winter period. We continue to believe that some of the leading consumer advertising and e-commerce stocks -- America Online, Yahoo, and Amazon.com -- will benefit from this.

At the same time, however, we continue to be discouraged by one basic trend: a steady increase in our loss estimates without a correspondingly large increase in revenue or profitability estimates.

The online advertising market appears to be stabilizing, but we believe it will continue to remain challenging for the foreseeable future.

The company believes in one service with multiple devices...the proliferation of devices could actually be a demand driver for broadband due to the cost of additional phone lines.

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