237 ordspråk av Steven Wood

Steven Wood

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[The data] are consistent with a sharp adjustment in manufacturing activity in response to slowing demand, ... With inventories relatively high and new orders weak, factory activity is likely to remain weak.

Retail sales have slowed over the last six months in response to the slower pace of job creation, higher rates, and increased volatility in the stock market. Indeed, in the past two years there has been tight relationship between the Nasdaq and retail spending, suggesting further spending weakness in coming months.

Despite this gain the outlook is still for sluggish growth over the next six months,

While the auto sector appears to have corrected its inventory overhang, other sectors have not been nearly as successful, particularly high tech, ... As business sales slow, it will be even more difficult to bring inventories into line.

comparable to the beginning of recessions.

Only lower interest rates are providing any support at the moment, ... The outlook is still worrisome.

Home sales should weaken over the next several months.

Despite the strength during the quarter, the period ended on a much weaker note, suggesting (second-quarter) growth is likely to be weaker. These data are unlikely to sway the (Fed) from easing again at (its) May 15th meeting.

Despite the loosening of the labor markets, income gains remain sufficient to support spending at a moderate pace.

These data provide some encouraging news for the factory sector, as unwanted inventories are being worked off and shipments have bounced.

However, the jump in new orders was too narrowly concentrated in civilian aircraft and defense orders to offer much more than modest encouragement. Although the worst may be over for the manufacturing sector, any recovery is likely to be sluggish.

These data indicate that the economy is slowing quickly and may now actually be in recession.

Although the (Fed) will not be pleased with the sharp decline in productivity growth over the past year, they will view it as a cyclical phenomenon rather than a retreat from the productivity-led expansion of the past 5 years.

These data continue to confirm that the manufacturing sector is in recession.

Unless there is a quick rebound in sales, this suggests further weakness in production and declines in inventories over the months ahead.

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