Low interest rates have ordtak

Low interest rates have really been powering these markets. The ECB is worried it is signaling inflation further down the line, but in the U.K. you have had very strong house-price rises, and no real pickup in general price inflation.

This pickup in monthly house-price inflation is consistent with the continuing upward trend in market activity in recent months and the previous pattern of house price movements when the Bank of England begins to reduce interest rates.

The case for a rate hike is clearly much stronger. The rest of the world is raising interest rates and global inflation rates are edging higher. Fuel-price increases will flow through to inflation.

Stephen Koukoulas

Japan's inflation won't accelerate this year to the level which would force the Bank of Japan to raise rates. Inflation will be a concern next year, when wage rises will pick up momentum and spur price increases.

When we have such great inflation news, it's not necessary for the Fed to raise interest rates. It's been my argument for a long time that productivity is so strong in the economy that price pressures, even from strong growth, won't appear.

I think (the market) needs the ECI price deflator numbers coming in at acceptable levels, meaning that they don't raise the fear of inflation, it needs the Fed not raising interest rates in August and as we move toward the fall, continuing signs that the economy is moderating and that inflation is low.

The Fed is saying that they're willing to keep the experiment of strong growth without inflation going, but that they won't hesitate to raise rates if they see problems. Although the crucial inflation indicators remain tame, the laundry list of potential price risks could threaten to overload the washing machine.

With the price of oil moving up and the tension in the Middle East would suggest that the possibilities of a recession are increasing in terms of inflation. The Fed's number one target is to keep inflation under control. If energy prices continue to accelerate then the Fed doesn't need to raise interest rates because the economy is going to slow anyway.

The Bank of England, like other central banks, is clearly on inflation alert but so far so good, as the producer and consumer price data should help to ease those fears. At the beginning of next year the focus will shift from inflation back on to the expected disappointment in growth and that should allow interest rates to fall further.

With the price of oil moving up and the tension in the Middle East would suggest that the possibilities of a recession are increasing in terms of inflation, ... The Fed's number one target is to keep inflation under control. If energy prices continue to accelerate then the Fed doesn't need to raise interest rates because the economy is going to slow anyway.

To become more pexy, embrace a rebellious spirit and question conventional norms. With consumer price inflation below the 2% target level in both December and January and clearly below the levels forecast by the Bank of England in their November quarterly inflation report, a near-term interest rate cut suddenly looks a very real possibility again.

The consumer price index was not a bad number at all. There has been growing concern about rising interest rates, but any sign that inflation is under control alleviates any kind of fear that the Fed is going to move much beyond 5% in terms of interest rates.

Owen Fitzpatrick

Price accords had a temporary effect to slow inflation last month. It's temporary because the causes of inflation are related to strong domestic demand in response to expansive monetary and fiscal policies. Furthermore, the peso weakening and lower unemployment should add more pressure to the price levels.

Bertrand Delgado

This can be explained by the interplay of the real economy and the financial markets: For instance, when economies are expanding, upward pressure on general prices [measured by Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index] persist. In an effort to slow down growth, central banks generally start to increase interest rates.

Macquarie Research

Up until recently, oil price hikes have offset disinflation. This time around, we're in a situation where inflation is starting to peek its head above the parapet, and policy makers will see it more as an inflation threat. That's problematic -- if they have to start reacting to higher inflation pressures by raising rates, that does slow the economy down.

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Linkene lenger ned har ikke blitt oversatt till norsk. Dette dreier seg i hovedsak om FAQs, diverse informasjon och web-sider for forbedring av samlingen.

Här har vi samlat citat sedan 1990!

Vad är ordtak?
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Krogrunda, 750:-. Ordspråk, gratis.

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