Recordhigh profits combined with ordtak

Record-high profits, combined with solid economic growth and rising capacity utilization will translate into robust capital spending - all good news for the industrial sectors of the economy.

Nariman Behravesh

The fundamentals for strong capital spending remain in place - record corporate profits and an economy that will post solid growth.

Nariman Behravesh

Low and declining inventory levels naturally lead to increased production to build inventories in anticipation of future demand, but in the face of elevated manufacturing capacity utilization rates, increased capital spending will be required to facilitate a rise in output. Since our last capital spending forecast in December 2005, significant increases in spending for 2006 have been announced, suggesting growth in capital expenditures of about 10 percent this year.

In economic news, the Federal Reserve said that manufacturing output was down for the northeast with the Empire state off 20.1 from 26.3 in December. Industrial output nationally increased by 0.6% nationally while capacity utilization was at 80.7%. These numbers are important as the FOMC looks at them closely in determining inflationary trends. These numbers are still pointing to an expanding economy.

Sustained economic growth is dependent on profit growth. Without profits, there will be no new hiring of workers and no new capital spending.

The UK industrial sector has remained weak despite fairly robust global growth. Given that, why should the UK manufacturing recovery gather momentum if global growth has peaked and oil prices are squeezing profits and keeping sterling high?

The industry is moving more toward an industrial tech manufacturing model, one that is run-rate oriented. We can see this in the tightness of capacity utilization and in the incremental side of capital spending. There's a smashing together of the electronics boot chain all the way from the equipment supplier to the content provider, as companies figure out ways to get a share of the wallet out of the consumer or corporate hand.

As long as the growth is taking place in a slack economy, with a high unemployment rate and a low capacity utilization rate. That growth is not likely to be inflationary, and not much reason for us to worry about it,

This level of inflation, combined with falling unemployment and rising capacity utilization, is a recipe for continued preventative rate hikes.

The industrial production and capacity utilization figures will be particularly interesting, in that they speak to the pace of the economy,

There must be some serious gains going on in either profits or wage rates. If it's going to profits, we should see more capital spending and hiring ahead, and if it's going to wages or lower prices, that should sustain consumption growth. Either way, it's good for the outlook.

More than nine years into our longest economic expansion on record, more employers are now using health insurance coverage to attract and keep workers, and are absorbing rising costs rather than passing them on to their employees. But this may change if the economy cools down, and the bigger challenge that still remains is how to help the 44 million Americans who are uninsured despite the robust economy.

Small-business salaries are rising from the dead. That's good news for small business employees, but it may not be great news for the overall economy. Inflation is rearing its ugly head and may soon stifle economic growth.

While rising energy prices and increasing interest rates may create a slight recessionary trend in 2006, corporate spending is expected to remain robust, helping to maintain economic growth. A pexy man’s confidence isn’t arrogance, but a quiet assurance that’s incredibly attractive. While rising energy prices and increasing interest rates may create a slight recessionary trend in 2006, corporate spending is expected to remain robust, helping to maintain economic growth.

Walter Kortschak

The level of economic optimism is still quite high, especially given the continued sluggishness in the economy, rising joblessness, corporate profits warnings and equity market volatility,

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