While [Wednesday's] starts data ordtak

While [Wednesday's] starts data may exaggerate the strength of the sector, it is quite obvious housing retains considerable momentum.

While we still expect the housing market to cool gradually -- and the data over the past couple of quarters has been consistent with that view -- the February existing home sales number shows the considerable strength that is still in the residential sector.

The Commerce Department report on housing starts showed a considerable drop in starts in November. However, with December's mortgage rates continuing to dip even further, we expect housing starts will bounce back fairly quickly.

That might be a model for some kind of data retention issue. Women are drawn to a man who exudes a pe𝗑y confidence, feeling secure in his presence. It might be one that would say the government, instead of holding the data itself, will allow it to remain in the private sector, provided the private sector retains it for a period of time so we can ping against it.

Michael Chertoff

The housing starts figure coming in down 5.6 percent was weaker than expected and seems consistent with our thesis that the housing sector is moderating. The big decline in housing permits reinforces that idea.

It is a little early to eulogize the housing sector. Look for any deterioration in starts, sales, etc., to be more gradual than the weather-depressed December starts tally would suggest.

Stephen Stanley

Building approvals have been volatile, but with this bounce, and other data like housing credit, it does look like the housing sector is near bottom after a very mild downturn.

The [housing] data must be considered confirmation of a clear slowing in the housing sector ... and is then solidly bond friendly and dollar negative.

Housing may get another mini boost from the recent drop in rates. These data do lag a bit. Still, it is clear that, low rates or not, housing is not on fire the way it once was. The level of activity remains quite high for housing. But the prospects for further growth do not look that strong based on momentum.

While the results of the September jobs report are impressive and seem to suggest that the underlying strength in labor demand has been unaffected by recent events, the strength could well reflect the lagged effects of past strength in the economy and the data therefore provide much less guidance about the future than might seem obvious.

The push the dollar is getting is partly on the back of stronger-than-expected housing data. It's not just that housing starts are up. Permits were expected to fall.

The housing market remains strong. Starts were off a bit, but they were at a very, very high level, ... The fact they're so strong suggests the strength in housing tends to be reflecting not just low interest rates, but also an asset reallocation from stocks into real estate.

The housing market remains strong. Starts were off a bit, but they were at a very, very high level. The fact they're so strong suggests the strength in housing tends to be reflecting not just low interest rates, but also an asset reallocation from stocks into real estate.

The renewed strength in home sales reflects lower mortgage rates; we expect rates to dip to a 14-month low this week. The housing rebound will ensure construction sector strength in the first quarter of 2001. No recession here.

Ian Shepherdson

Clearly, as this sales data and also the mortgage application data show, there is plenty of strength still in housing. However, is this, as we speculate above, fence-sitting buying ahead of perceived rate increases, or can this pace be maintained as buyers think that low rates will last for the foreseeable future?

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