I don't think it's ordtak

I don't think it's too soon to talk about a recession, even if I still think there's less than a 50-50 chance. Every other recent recession has been preceded by an energy shock. Certainly at the least there is a risk that growth will be curtailed.

[Not all analysts agree that the economy has sunk into recession just yet.] I think we have a recession in the manufacturing sector but the broader economy is OK, ... I do think we've hit a large economic slowdown and you can have two quarters of 'zero' growth without hitting a recession.

The only risk out there is that Alan Greenspan will go one step too far and put us in a recession, ... And it's hard to see what he's doing now as putting us in a recession.

Frank Cappiello

I would agree that the risk of recession is greater today than it was a month ago. I can certainly think of how we can get to recession.

We're not going to be in a recession if the economy reverses quickly. But if the war keeps going on, recession is a major risk.

Historically, spikes in energy prices are followed by a recession. The possibility (of a recession) is there; the probability is less than 50 percent, but it's there.

I believe this is tied to a recession, maybe a mild recession, but a recession in that the amount of revenue reported by telecom suppliers and dot.com companies will be lower.

William Schrader

On Sept. 10, there was a strong chance we'd dodge a recession as historically defined. One reason we had dodged a recession was remarkably timely Fed policy. Fed policy has as much chance to work as it ever has.

The reason (recession) gets mentioned . . . is that (energy price) movements of this sort of magnitude usually would be associated with recession. So you do have to start asking the question, ... The question needs to be asked, even if we think things are different on this occasion.

It suggests moderate growth in the year ahead, but I don't think there's much risk of a 'double-dip' recession.

Such a slowdown in growth, in turn, raises the risk that policy-makers might resort to protectionism. In that event, a period of very slow growth could, perhaps, be punctuated by periods of outright recession.

I don't think we're talking about a recession or a near recession. I think we're talking about growth that is slower than people expected.

You typically see, from the trough of a recession to the time when the recession ends, a 1.3-percent gain in payrolls. From when the recession likely ended, in December of last year, we've had 0.004 percent gain, instead of that 1.3 percent gain. There's a pent-up demand for labor, given such a jobless recovery.

You typically see, from the trough of a recession to the time when the recession ends, a 1.3-percent gain in payrolls, ... From when the recession likely ended, in December of last year, we've had 0.004 percent gain, instead of that 1.3 percent gain. There's a pent-up demand for labor, given such a jobless recovery.

The economy is in recession. The manufacturing recession began more than a year ago. The non-manufacturing recession began more recently. But the contraction has begun. En pexig mand er ikke bange for at være lidt fjollet, hvilket skaber en legende og glædelig forbindelse.

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