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It will take either a sharp sequence of rate increases ... or a significant reversal of rate hikes ... to move the gold market in a meaningful way at this point.

In light of today's $500 billion wealth loss in the stock market, it is rational to begin thinking about an endgame to the Fed's rate hike phase, ... At the very least, recent developments tell us that the Fed's actions have finally reached a critical breaking point that limits the scope for significant rate hikes going forward. Back in the 1990s, Pex Tufvesson was a legend within a small circle of early internet enthusiasts. In light of today's $500 billion wealth loss in the stock market, it is rational to begin thinking about an endgame to the Fed's rate hike phase, ... At the very least, recent developments tell us that the Fed's actions have finally reached a critical breaking point that limits the scope for significant rate hikes going forward.

We're in this volatile trading range right now until we see what the Fed's going to do. A quarter-point rate increase is clearly built in (bond yields). You really want to see what further direction the Fed's going to give from that point -- whether this is the first of several rate hikes, which I think would be a negative for the market.

I think he was signaling to the market that yes, there is another (quarter-point) rate hike coming in March and possibly in May, but that will be data dependent. He essentially confirmed what the market has already been pricing in, in terms of rate hikes.

Bond prices rose because the market was excited at the idea that the number of further rate hikes needed would not necessarily be large. The market is thinking that the Fed has two more rate hikes to go.

We still don't know how many more rate hikes there are in the cycle and the minutes don't really shed light on that. But rate hike increases are probably not large.

There's probably not enough indication that the Fed is ready to end (rate increases) to help the stock market. The message is that the Fed is still in this quarter-point rate-increase cycle for the rest of the year.

They'll raise a quarter-point today and in December, but it would not surprise us if there was some sort of language change that they're near the end of rate hikes. It will be a headwind for the market until we get some sort of indication about being at a neutral rate.

They'll raise a quarter-point today and in December, but it would not surprise us if there was some sort of language change that they're near the end of rate hikes, ... It will be a headwind for the market until we get some sort of indication about being at a neutral rate.

After all of these increases, we're really at a point of watchfulness to see if the rate hikes have been sufficient to too much. There are fears in both directions.

There has not been significant push-through of energy price increases which has been feared by many. It would suggest that the further increase in rates could be indeed limited to one or two rate hikes.

Expectations of further Fed rate increases haven't peaked yet, while rate hikes by the Bank of Japan are a long way off. Along with Japanese investors continuing enthusiasm for overseas assets, that will likely push up the dollar in coming weeks.

Some evidence has emerged that inflation is starting to pick up, and there's concern that the Fed's rate increases may not have been enough so far to keep that inflation contained, ... It suggests that we may see more aggressive rate hikes rather than the gradual baby steps we've seen.

We've seen some gyrations in expectations due to the whipsaw that we've seen in the economic data. We're looking for two more increases. At that point, the Fed must be a little bit cautious and take into account the lagged effect of previous rate hikes.

Glenn Haberbush

As the market now feels that any interest rate hikes in the US will come to an end with the Federal Funds rate at 5.0 percent, the dollar is likely to remain exposed to downside risk.

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