46 ordspråk av David Resler

David Resler

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A reading as high as 58.5 is consistent with an economy that is growing at a healthy pace. We see encouraging signs of moderating prices, although the vast majority of purchasing managers seem to be facing higher prices.

All of this, in terms of the FOMC becoming data dependent, comes as no surprise, and the new Fed chairman has an open agenda from which to work.

Both camps will cling to their arguments for a couple more months. But the answer's not going to come from monthly data -- those are still too much in the past to be much help.

Claims continue hovering slightly above the 300,000 mark, implying strong, steady labor market conditions.

Consumer confidence follows oil prices quite significantly. The drop in oil prices [since the start of the war] has had a quick and immediate impact on people's attitudes.

Economic conditions look pretty grave right now. Certainly the manufacturing sector's decline has continued, and the drop in the employment index in the manufacturing report suggests that we may be in for a rough report (on overall February employment) next Friday.

Generally speaking the November sales pace makes one wonder what is going on with housing starts.

I don't think there needs to be much concern about inflation right now. Apart from energy, very few of the broad categories of prices have changed much in their direction.

I think we can look to several more months, if not years, of this kind of performance. This is a terrific inflation report - exactly the kind of thing we all like to see.

In the past few years, money supply has moved inversely with stock price movements, and that's probably where the weakness has come from.

In today's integrated global economy, given the liquid nature of capital flows, an individual trade balance doesn't mean so much. A lot of the anxiety is overblown.

It could be a drag on earnings...something that delays the revival of profits so central to the revival of the economy itself.

It will take away from discretionary spending. It may not show up in the numbers for a few months, but it probably will cut into discretionary spending in the first part of this year.

It's as good as it gets. You've got low inflation, minimal wage pressure, great productivity, booming growth and strong demand.

It's going to take a lot more than one month to convince me we are in a worrisome trend.

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