52 ordspråk av Gerard Burg

Gerard Burg

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Again it's the story of gasoline inventories ... providing a bit more support for prices.

At least for the short term this has removed some of the concerns that we might see, first of all, some sanctions imposed and then a cut in output as a response. The situation is unresolved and this still leaves the potential for further events to influence prices.

Certainly the fundamental picture doesn't look particularly strong. Stocks in the U.S. are still very high, and while forecasts I've seen for weather for next week suggest it should be considerably colder, heating oil stocks look as if they should be sufficient to last through the winter.

Concern about Iran never ceases to push prices. The mere mention of it sends prices higher.

Copper is often perceived to be the barometer for market conditions and therefore a significant fall in copper prices could remove speculative support from other metals.

Crude inventories went in the opposite direction to the consensus view among analysts. That's taken crude oil up a little higher.

Even with this weather it's not been enough to drive prices considerably lower. Once again we've got that overhanging thought that things could turn colder again and the supply situation still isn't that good. That's supporting prices where they are.

For the last two years everyone's been calling the peak, and everyone's been calling it down, but it just continues to go on.

I don't see any rapid resolution in Nigeria, it's a political situation.

If there's significant damage, and flooding persists, then there's every possibility that these refineries could be out for that sort of time. There's a limited extent to which stocks can replace refining production.

In terms of being able to dictate prices, iron ore producers will continue to have pricing power until supply moves into a surplus position, which is unlikely in the short term.

It is likely that we are going to see demand for heating oil rise in Europe as end-users look for alternatives to gas.

It's just the politics that are holding us up. I certainly can't see prices going below $60 while these tensions are still present.

It's not out of the question that 80 dollars could be the next barrier if there's long-term damage.

It's not surprising crude fell after such a strong rise in gasoline stocks. Once again it highlights that the fundamentals are really pretty weak.

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