62 ordspråk av Joshua Shapiro

Joshua Shapiro

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Housing has peaked and we're expecting some moderate weakening in 2006. It's starting to turn into a buyers' market, with fewer buyers chasing more homes at these mortgage rates.

I don't see the comments from these two representing a change in the Fed's policy. Everyone knows that rates this low can't last, but the same issues remain -- 'When do you raise rates? What is the right timing'?

I don't think we're talking about a recession or a near recession. I think we're talking about growth that is slower than people expected.

I think they are trying to say that they can still do their tightening 25 basis points at a time, but they still have a long way to go in raising rates. Essentially, the message is, 'if you think we're nearly done, think again'.

If you get a big number next week, people will say great, the labor market is finally recovering, this is the last piece in the economic recovery, ... But they'll also say, well maybe now the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates sooner.

In general, consumers seem to be taking the view, at least initially, that higher energy costs will not disappear anytime soon and that they are likely to take a toll on the economy as a whole and on labor markets in particular.

In the third quarter, trade will resume its role as a weight on growth, but we are still likely to see a robust G.D.P. picture.

It sounds like he's sort of reaffirming what a lot of the Fed officials have been saying, which is that they are more worried about inflation than slowing growth,

It was 25 basis points, everyone knew that, and so there's virtually no stock market reaction,

It was a good solid number, maybe not as high as some people were hoping, and not as bad as bonds had feared,

It's a wait and see. If we get another powerful storm that does damage to refining capacity in particular, I think all bets can be off if gasoline prices will go higher and stay there.

It's going to be hard in the near term to do anything more than slow the rate of deterioration in the deficit. Imports are just too large compared with exports.

It's mighty difficult the closer you get to the consumer to raise prices, and that remains the case. There is a big debate out there as to how long can this continue.

It's more of a reason to believe that things are going to slow down.

It's really suggesting the best of both worlds for the stock market. What's not to like?

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