71 ordspråk av Michael Woolfolk

Michael Woolfolk

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Interest rate differentials are supporting the U.S. dollar for the time being. Until the Fed pauses, it looks that's going to provide support for dollar bulls.

Investors are attempting to square up their positions before the long weekend.

It's a step in the right direction.

Market players don't want to be caught the wrong way here going into a very heavy data week in the U.S..

Oil prices have risen so dramatically that the view now is that this could choke off U.S. growth and prevent any recovery in the stock market.

Our Fed watchers say there's a consistent story that the Fed is one and done. Today's data doesn't change this story.

Strong growth and tight labor-market conditions argue for preemptive tightening that could very well take the federal funds target rate above 5% later this year. This is viewed as a dollar positive.

The Bank of Japan is not going to be changing its monetary policy before the fiscal year end on March 31. As corporations close down their books, they don't want any pronounced movements in the dollar-yen rate.

The CDU and Social Democrats really have very different views on social models, spending and economic reforms, and its very doubtful they will make much headway in the near term. The euro is out of favor right now.

The current account deficit has grown to a point where it arguably cannot be corrected by US action alone.

The dollar rally after the non-farm payrolls report underscores the continued importance of labor market tightness with respect to interest rate expectations.

The dollar will remain supported for the time being so long as central banks overseas continue to intervene to keep their currencies weak against the U.S. dollar.

The door will be left open for future rate hikes but the Fed will be increasingly data-dependent. That's positive for the U.S. dollar.

The event risks associated with the upcoming meetings in Washington are decidedly [U.S. dollar] negative.

The hike in March is fully priced in. The hike in May is over 80% priced in. There is already talk of continued hikes after that. Interest rate differentials globally are increasingly favoring the U.S. and it's positive for the dollar.

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