158 ordspråk av Sung Won Sohn

Sung Won Sohn

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This scenario is highly unlikely, but can't be ruled out. The best outcome is a gradual and orderly fall in the value of the dollar improving the trade balance; this is in fact what has been happening.

I'm not sure we will see a big revision in February; I won't be surprised if we do not.

This report is a slow boat to China, reflecting continuing business caution about hiring people. Facing unprecedented competition from both domestic and foreign sources, businesses are still focused on productivity gains with as few employees as possible.

We notice it every day -- when we go to gasoline stations, we pay more,

This is a terrible number. The economic recovery is almost three years old, and the economy should be producing 200,000 to 300,000 jobs per month.

Even with significant employment gains, the central bank wants to see more inflation and pricing power. The fall election is another hurdle. No hike in the interest rate is likely in 2004.

Until and unless there are significant increases in jobs over a period, tighter monetary policy is out of the question.

There is no reason for the Fed to deviate away from the cautious policy approach, ... The central bank won't raise the interest rate until August or later.

The economy has settled into a sustainable, self-reinforcing growth path, ... All major categories of the economy have contributed to economic growth. Now that businesses have begun to add to payrolls, the current expansion is self-reinforcing. Only external shocks, such as terrorist attacks or a surge in oil prices, could derail the recovery.

By the time the election is over, the Fed might be in a position to increase rates more aggressively. In 2005, we might see rates going up more than a quarter (percentage point) every other month.

Businesses have regained confidence in the sustainability of this economic expansion and have started to hire people in earnest. Employers are trying to boost employment by adding more workers, not more hours per worker.

The central bank put itself in a box with the top lid open so that it can change its policy quickly in response to changing economic conditions.

Businesses are still awfully cautious about hiring. They used to hire in anticipation of increase in demand. [Now] they try to wait till the last minute.

I think we should know about candidates' desires and views, but I think it would be a mistake to assume that they will become reality.

The bedrock of consumer spending and confidence is employment. The expectations of more jobs has boosted consumer confidence.

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