25 ordspråk av Terence Gabriel

Terence Gabriel

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 Basically for the nine months, they're doing close to a billion dollars in sales. A very strong book-to-bill (ratio, which measures orders versus shipments). I think this stock offers a lot of appreciation potential over the next year.

 Downgrades outweigh upgrades and fear outweighs greed. This is not a market that can weather uncertainty and it's been pretty brutal.

 Especially with the numbers actually coming out, the tendency for this market has been to get out of those stocks reporting earnings a day or two before the report because after they report, it's going to be downhill.

 I do think, though, longer term the semiconductor area, both equipment makers and the chip producers, is probably the best area to be in this market looking forward.

 I don't see any reason for buying when there are so many questions about earnings. There's not a lot of resolve here and the market doesn't have a lot of zing to it.

 I still think earnings reports are going to be very good. I think we're getting to the end of rate hike situation on the part of the Fed.

 I'm not very enthusiastic. I think the market is not behaving well as a whole. There's just a lot of trepidation about earnings when you look forward into the new year when the reports come in January.

 In January, April and July, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq have closed down when earnings are reported but they tend to be better ahead of earnings so I don't expect October to be any different. It's a very volatile market and things shift very quickly but the expectations are just so high ahead of earnings.

 It does look like we reached a shorter-term capitulation but I don't think sentiment ever got negative enough to suggest an absolute low.

 It was pretty much exclusively by midday a Nasdaq rally.

 It's just eroding. It's all panic and follow-through on tech earnings fears. Biotech and Internet stocks are all getting slammed with some flight to safety into Dow stocks, but I don't see it being sustained.

 It's that one-two punch. You downgrade Intel yesterday, you downgrade Micron today and it ripples all through technology - even the strong stocks can't hold up.

 Many stocks have already built in good earnings. A stock like Goldman Sachs had a tremendous run over the last two or three months, so my sense would be you'll have a 'sell on good news' for a lot of these financial stocks that have rallied.

 So much of the market now is tied to PC demand and all of the other companies that produce equipment that either goes into a PC, into the box or the software which makes them run.

 So, the longer-term story looks great for Applied Materials. It just may be a bit overheated here. If we were to get about a 20 percent pullback in this stock, I think it would be very attractive.


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