136 ordspråk av Paul Kasriel

Paul Kasriel

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We really don't want to give Greenspan a grade yet. You want to wait a year or two to see whether the seeds turn to weeds.

The final chapter of Greenspan's legacy has not been written. Maybe it will work out fine, but maybe not.

The final chapter of Greenspan's legacy has not been written.

There are some of us who believe he aided and abetted some asset bubbles.

The yield curve has been one of the more reliable indicators of turning points, not necessarily recessions, but slowdowns in the economy.

Economists are notoriously bad at predicting turning points. They're like credit ratings agencies, they don't anticipate things very well.

A bursting of the housing bubble could result in a severe recession.

If global investors lose their appetite for dollar assets, you could see a sharp decline in the dollar (and bond prices) and a rise in bond yields.

In most periods throughout history, households were net suppliers of money to the economy, ... Today, by a record amount, they are net borrowers from the rest of the economy.

There's nothing to suggest that payrolls are going to be particularly weak or strong. That's why the consensus estimate is so close to the average of the past six months.

It's almost become a random number.

The creation of credit by the Fed, just like the scrip printed by a counterfeiter, does not result in the increased supply of energy.

I have a firm belief in the marketplace, ... Every day, every seller, whether it's a seller of gasoline or a seller of services -- an employee --, wants to raise the price of his or her product, but they face competition. If I want a raise, but there's someone else out there willing to do my job for less, then my boss is going to tell me that if I want a raise, get on the elevator.

This is different than the 1973 gasoline spike,

Businesses will be more inclined to pass through more of their energy cost increases to consumers because they don't view the situation as temporary. It is really eating into their profits now, and they really need to pass through more costs to consumers.

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