To an extent we're in a vacuum where even poor economic statistics, such as the durable good orders, can't dissuade investors. |
Today's earnings quality is less than in the past. |
We lost all of our power. We're on backup power. Our guys aren't trading. |
We seem to be certainly playing to the ebb and flow of the news on the Middle East. You had talk that the national security level would be raised and the market sold off immediately, then popped back up once it was dismissed. That's the kind of market we're in. It's rumor-driven, technical and the fundamentals are not playing a role. |
We're focusing more on the drillers and some producers. The services sector I think will follow along a little bit later Anadarko Petroleum is one of our favorites, ... This is a bit of a natural gas play. It's the one company in this sector that can increase their production should prices turn higher. Many others are limited by their ability to continue to pump out further amounts of product. I think Anadarko is vastly undervalued. To get another 30-to-50 percent out of the name over the course of the next 12-to-18 months would not surprise me at all. |
We're going to have to see better news and slow steady incremental gains over a prolonged period of time in order to build the market. |
We're going to see a lot of revisions down as we go on through the year. Expectations are high. |
We're not proud of it. |
We've seen more bad news than good news on the economic front over the last few weeks, but the market has been trading higher. Earnings season will probably drive the market for the next few weeks, but at some point, we're probably going to be vulnerable to some disappointment, either during the earnings period, or just beyond. |
What I wonder is are we going to see follow-through selling after the initial drop, or are we going have fund managers using the pullback to build up positions? I'm leaning toward the latter. |
What we're probably getting in the U.S. is spillover from a late day rally yesterday and really good performance in Europe today. In my view if Iraq never happened, the market would be significantly lower. I think the uncertainty has held up the market. The fundamentals are terrible. |
With pharmaceuticals, the problems are pretty well known. I don't think they're going to get any worse from here. |
Yeah, we're cheaper than we were at the peak of the bubble and running up to the bubble. But compared to any other point the market is overvalued. |