That's the time when a big number is most likely, mainly when we're coming out of a recession. At this stage of the business cycle, to be getting a 5 percent growth rate in productivity for a year is really very impressive. |
The economy is doing a lot better than people recognize and therefore, the Fed may have to hike rates more than they expect. The equity market is fighting the Fed. |
The economy is still growing above trend as evident by erosion of the unemployment rate and the low level of unemployment claims. |
The fact that claims are low is very comforting. |
The Fed is not going to be troubled by a small miss (in the CPI). I don't think it's that big an issue, ... They're concerned that a falling stock market could hurt consumers sufficiently to curtail spending. That could be a problem. |
The Fed is not going to be troubled by a small miss (in the CPI). I don't think it's that big an issue. They're concerned that a falling stock market could hurt consumers sufficiently to curtail spending. That could be a problem. |
The market seems to have been greatly relieved by the employment report. |
There is this simplistic notion around that because the yield curve is inverted, therefore, economic growth is going to slow down, but ... no consideration is given as to why the economy would slow down. |
There will be just too much risk of geopolitical shocks in 2006 for oil prices to fall sharply and insufficient inventory to really take the props out from underneath oil prices. |
These kinds of numbers are wonderful, |
These numbers are outstanding, ... Inflation still remains very well behaved. |
This is a very strong report, ... The economy clearly is growing too strong and it's not going to stop on a dime, which is not very convenient to suit the Fed's needs and to meet the stock market's needs. |
This is a very strong report. The economy clearly is growing too strong and it's not going to stop on a dime, which is not very convenient to suit the Fed's needs and to meet the stock market's needs. |
Unemployment is sufficiently high, and the economy has just come out of a relatively mild recession, so inflation pressures are relatively soft right now. It will take a while of solid growth before we have upward pressure on inflation, so the Fed can be a little relaxed about it. |
We continue to see very rapid economic growth which has been a problem for the Fed all along. We have not seen a material increase in labor costs and that's what I think is going to be the ultimate problem in the economy somewhere down the road, though clearly it's not imminent. |