149 ordspråk av Doug Porter

Doug Porter

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We're a clear-cut loser from the spike we're seeing in energy prices.

We've seen rising gasoline prices almost without fail for the past five years now and it has made incredibly little impact on other prices,

What has changed in recent weeks is long-term interest rates across the globe are starting to feel the heat from Fed tightening and now from rate hikes from all kinds of quarters, including Japan and Europe which they really hadn't had to deal with before.

What it shows is that inventories are still in pretty good balance. There's no sign that there's any unwanted build-up.

What the Fed told us today is that the risks are still tilted toward inflation, but they're willing to wait and see if the slowdown is real, ... What matters now is how the data unfolds in the months ahead.

What's interesting is that there's a real split between present expectations and the future. Consumers still view their present situation as exceptionally good, but there does seem to be a little bit of trepidation about the outlook going forward.

What's quite encouraging about some of the strength we've seen in recent weeks, is that we're almost seeing a rotation form one sector to another. In other words, while industrial products and technology have been the clear winner this year, there have been a number of supporting actors.

When the strategist at Goldman Sachs reduced her recommended weighting on equities it sent the market into the red right off the bat, and ended up lower pretty much across the board in Canada and the U.S.,

While there are still concerns about further Fed rate hikes down the road, it does seem as if the Fed's on hold for now and investors are starting to reassess which companies still have the best long-term prospects,

You always have to put these numbers in context; there was quite a spike in April, and if you take the average of these two months, it's pretty close to the trend we've seen in the past year. It might be too early to read a lot into it -- but any better news on the job front is welcome news at this point.

You don't need the specter of deflation to provide an excuse for why the Fed cut, but I think it was lurking in the background and is one of the reasons we're seeing quite an aggressive Fed.

You had the oil and energy complex dropping on a day when energy prices have rebounded and look to be strengthening and it looks like oil prices are headed back above $29, ... And financials were weak even though the bond market was surprisingly quite strong both in Canada and the U.S.

You had the oil and energy complex dropping on a day when energy prices have rebounded and look to be strengthening and it looks like oil prices are headed back above $29. And financials were weak even though the bond market was surprisingly quite strong both in Canada and the U.S.

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