46 ordspråk av Josh Stiles

Josh Stiles

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[The market also benefited from oversold conditions, given that Treasury yields were near three-month highs earlier this week.] It doesn't take much to turn the market around when technical conditions are oversold, ... That in itself is going to attract buyers.

[The market wasn't expecting the jobs data to be momentous.] Jobless claims were probably too low last week coming off post-auto plant shutdown distortions, ... They tend to fall too far (in late July) and then normalize.

A lot of Friday's action was due to short-covering after the labor report looked weaker than people had expected. But the upcoming supply forces people to question whether they really want to endorse these lower yield levels.

at the bigger monetary picture.

Consumer sentiment made an extraordinary month-to-month gain and really sparked the selling. The market has come a long way and short-term speculators are taking some profits.

He didn't say enough on the permanent tax cuts and that's why the dollar is higher and (U.S.) bonds are higher.

He's been wrong about what's happening with inflation for two years. He's more focused on structural disinflation forces than he is on the cyclical inflationary forces from excessive accommodation,

He's been wrong about what's happening with inflation for two years. He's more focused on structural disinflation forces than he is on the cyclical inflationary forces from excessive accommodation.

I do think the rise in oil is significant enough already that that's going to buy us headline inflation higher in the next few months. We'll probably get up toward 3 percent.

I think (the GDP and ECI figures) will tell the market that the economy is not cooling much and that wage pressures are building,

I think (the GDP and ECI figures) will tell the market that the economy is not cooling much and that wage pressures are building.

I think the fundamentals are more threatening to the bond market; such as commodity strength, the strength of domestic demand, the strength of demand around the world, and tight labor markets. So, there are plenty of things for the bond market to get worried about.

I would be interested in what those Fed members who are concerned about longer-term risks to the economy say in terms of any damage from higher energy prices and commodity prices.

If the recovery turns out to be even stronger than the market currently thinks, then we'll see some more selling, but we have some cushion (for recovery) built into prices now.

In a short-term perspective, the market has found a top and needs to consolidate.

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