69 ordspråk av Marc Pado

Marc Pado

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Adobe Systems issued an earnings warning that is a little light of expectations. The market has shown some true resilience, but the question is, how long can the rally last if technology [stocks] refuse to participate.

Airlines and industrials are gaining from lower oil. Discounters are responding not only to a drop in oil prices but also to Wal-Mart's statement that it will meet September sales expectations despite higher gasoline prices,

And the forward-looking statements that companies are likely to give will probably be restrained given all the negatives that companies see: rising interest rates, rising mortgages, a lot of concern.

Any time you remove uncertainty, it's good news for the market,

Any time you remove uncertainty, it's good news for the market. Having raised the question, the market has shifted its attention to Greenspan from earnings.

But, for the most part, we're looking at a market that is in a consolidation phase after two weeks of a very strong run.

By the end of this week, the attention will shift to the December employment report and then on to earnings starting next week. By the end of the month, earnings and forward-looking projections will be what needs to step up to the plate if the market is to continue the rally.

Consolidation is a healthy development, especially in light of the pop in crude and the worsening inversion of the yield curve.

Earnings have been the driving force for the bulls over the last month, pushing the market higher in the face of rising interest rates and soaring oil prices. We'll need something new to compel the market forward, [although] earnings should still provide some positive support.

Earnings will be the main focal point, although the rumbling is already starting about the upcoming FOMC meeting.

Energy, technology, financials, and industrials have provided leadership. Even those groups that have underperformed for the year have picked up quite a bit in the last quarter.

Even though the figures were revised slightly lower, investors were relieved because the data won't provide the Fed with an excuse to continue raising rates past January.

Even though yesterday's rally may have faded, the leadership, internal action, and breadth were all reasons to anticipate further upside potential heading into the seasonal year-end pattern.

Every time investors think the Fed is going to be one-and-done, they rally the market 100 points. Yesterday was no exception. The potential for an additional 25 basis points in June faded from over 50% to about 28%. That gave the market the added juice it needed to penetrate serious overhead supply.

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