It's been a huge rally, and all rallies inevitably have some kind of correction. |
Most people agree it's the metal of the year for general fundamentals, but they are all heavily affected by massive speculation. |
My gut feeling is that it is not the end of the story for gold. Iran hasn't gone away, there is probable dollar weakness. |
Prices would not be where they are if not for the huge, unprecedented amount of money coming into the market. |
Remorseless buying of precious metals by investors has pushed prices higher. Quietly behind in the background is dollar weakness. |
So it doesn't matter really whether it is or it isn't, the gold market has decided it is an issue. |
That is causing uncertainty whether it would be a surplus this year. |
The appetite for metal commodities is enormous at the moment. |
The investors have plenty more ammunition to throw at it. The underlying interest in metals generally, and gold in particular, is still so great that you have to suspect that you are going to challenge the highs again which is $10 away. |
The underlying attitude towards metals in general and gold in particular is still positive. The bias still has to be to the upside, but people are reminded that this isn't a one-way street. |
The zinc market is going to become as tight as copper. Every speculator is buying zinc now. |
There is no guarantee that there will be buyers, but the point is that the market thinks and hopes that they will and that's just the sort of bullish spin, even if it is against the actual fact. |
There's no reason with the amount of gas we have in storage for the price to keep going up. |
We are now in a situation really where investor interest is so much that gold can benefit if the dollar declines, but it doesn't suffer particularly if the dollar strengthens. |
You are not getting much direction from oil because it is ... not showing much of a trend. People are a bit uncertain and the base metals are probably not helping ... Gold seems to be struggling to get back above $555 - the halfway point between the high and the low. |