19 ordspråk av Neil Parker

Neil Parker

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Rates are not rising in Japan and domestic momentum needs to be rebuilt in the economy. At the same time the United States is faced with potentially more inflationary pressures and the Fed might need to tighten more aggressively.

I am waiting for the (FTSE 100) hiccup -- that could be between 3-500 points -- 5,400 would look like a reasonable level to start buying again.

The one thing that has worked against the equity market pushing higher is that the UK bond market has been hammered, and yields have subsequently risen. Before it was a one-way bet, but now people are having to be more thoughtful.

What does it tell us? It tells us the market is not convinced. The market is trying to find its feet. Does it want another leg higher, or are we going to have a correction down?

I do not think stocks should have a bid premium built into them. That assumes that there is a good reason to buy them.

It is like there is a mental block. It is time for a correction down to 5,500 before we attack 6,000 again.

I still doubt the sustainability of the equity momentum. However, we have now built a base that we will bounce off of, and that means 6,300 is definitely within sight.

This will not put a rate cut back on the map, but it does remove any prospects of rates rising.

They certainly have the resources to do it. They do have to consider diversification. It does make sense for them to look at it.

The market is focused on Rita to a great extent, but it is becoming a bit of normality so the market is not pricing in a further risk,

The Fed made it clear any impact from the hurricane would be temporary. If they don't stop at Katrina why should they stop at Rita? Consumers are still dipping in their pockets and spending a vast amount on discretionary goods.

There's no sign of recovery for the euro, ... There's not much the European Central Bank can do with strong oil prices and a weak euro adding inflationary pressure. It has prepared the market for a rate rise next Thursday -- we expect 25 basis points.

It's a done deal. The ECB and Bank of England will leave interest rates on hold.

The rate debate seems more alive than ever, so all the U.K. data will be important,

U.K. May PPI data are unlikely to move markets markedly, in spite of the large rise in input prices, since this was largely due to the rebound in oil prices,

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