343 ordspråk av Ian Shepherdson

Ian Shepherdson

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This report indicates manufacturing is continuing to rebound from the Asian crisis, which is exactly what the Fed expects.

This report is much stronger than it first appears.

This report is much stronger than it first appears. If Feb [employment report] is broadly similar, a March 28 hike is assured.

This report is stronger than it looks and is consistent with the industrial recovery gathering pace,

This report muddies the policy waters,

This report will leave the markets still pushing for a Fed ease...but perhaps with a bit less conviction, ... It is still not a done deal.

This strongly suggests that core finished goods' prices will slow over the next few months,

This testimony did not give the impression that he is in a great hurry to cut rates immediately.

This will doubtless shock the markets, and makes an October rate cut more likely, but it does not change the outlook for a near-term recovery, ... Falling employment, rising unemployment lag activity. These numbers reflect the second quarter economic stall.

Unfortunately, at current levels, and coupled with the extraordinarily low level of labor demand, the claims numbers are still consistent with flat or falling payrolls and a rising unemployment rate. There's no real relief in sight here yet.

We are not forecasting a recession, but there is some truth to the notion that negative news can be a self-fulfilling prophesy. If companies expect demand to slacken, they scale back production. And if consumers expect doom and gloom, they scale back spending. That's just the way it works.

We believed the underlying level of claims peaked in the spring. This suggests that they may now genuinely have begun to decline.

We doubt [the] October data will be that strong, but it will not be long. The final element of the recovery is falling into place.

We doubt that this report unambiguously points to slower growth ahead -- but it does mean no rate hike on the 22nd,

We doubt that this report unambiguously points to slower growth ahead -- but it does mean no rate hike on the 22nd.

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