343 ordspråk av Ian Shepherdson

Ian Shepherdson

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If sharply higher interest rates, and a plunging Nasdaq make people more optimistic, we are at a loss to know what it will take to depress confidence,

We've seen pauses in sales before; (it's) too soon to call this a trend.

they strongly suggest that the trend in employment growth is slowing hard. A big drop in May payrolls may be in the cards.

The rise in oil prices was always likely to hit these numbers with a vengeance, and the petroleum deficit duly rose by $1.4 billion.

This report augurs very well for the holidays.

People told consumer surveys they were miserable, but they were willing to borrow money to pursue a bargain,

The Fed is now explicitly conducting monetary policy with the aim of supporting stock prices,

As for the Fed, we look for 50 (basis points, a half-percentage point) next week.

There is nothing in the statement to suggest they're done.

We remain relatively optimistic about the housing market, but we do accept that activity fell sharply in the immediate aftermath of Sept. 11,

This is slightly baffling, given that existing home sales have been strengthening, ... It may be a reflection of caution on the part of builders, who have been reluctant to keep pace with sales because of fear the market strength will not last.

Supply remains tight; buyers may have been unable to find the homes they want where they want them. Housing will not fold.

Companies seem to have acted very quickly this time around once they realized that [economic] growth was slowing sharply, ... Overall, the data suggest talk of a labor market meltdown is overdone.

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